Film Theory: Terminator's Skynet is Coming!

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Closed Caption:

hello internet welcome to whoa start a
bit early there
don't worry though RB bar just call me
the bat nadir
determined that the term
hello internet welcome to film theory
have you guys ever seen terminator is
this audience old enough to appreciate a
good burly Austrian accent who else out
there would look back on terminator to
slowly sinking into lava thumbs up and
give it to slowly sinking into lava
thumbs ups beyond 12 though you're on
your own
regardless of some of the turns the
franchise has had over the years one
thing you have to admit is how awesome a
job the movies do it creating a dark
post apocalypse or robots have taken
over and humans fight for their very
survival
it's the kind of scenario that gets the
old furious cogs turning is this kind of
world just the stuff of nightmares or is
the world of the Terminator are great
speak beautiful machine infested
post-apocalyptic tomorrow
could a world in which all of humanity
is enslaved to an all powerful
supercomputer like Terminator Skynet
ever possibly become a reality
should we be worried about evil killer
robots who look and act like people
believe me
Watson already creeps me out a bit did
you see him decimate the competition on
jeopardy
so come with me if you want to live once
again proving that impression is not my
strong suit in the original terminator
our protagonist Kyle Reese described a
future where the infamous Skynet came
online and destroyed the world in 1997
well it was the future for nineteen
eighty four words the past now time you
fickle fickle mistress
ah 1997a day with a younger pimply or
matpat was attending his first middle
school dance and grooving out two Shania
Twain's man i feel like a woman
those were the glory days anyways the
only Armageddon that 1997 resulted in
was my to die for sixth grade fashion
sense
so we move on Terminator 3 portrayed a
similar Armageddon taking place in 2004
and yeah I know what you're thinking
facebook did launch that year so we were
definitely seeing signs of the end times
but it was an arm again
or at least not as portrayed in the
movie today we're all still around
killer cyborg men with dare i say
excellent dental work aren't patrolling
the streets and all the color in the
world hasn't become that weird grayish
blue
however the newest film terminator
genisys predicts that the take over from
our robotic overlords will occur in as
little as two years 2017
now the other films got their dates
wrong so this one couldn't possibly be
right either rights
I mean it couldn't be right we're not
gonna die in two years are we
Wow let's just take a look and find out
the truth behind the story first what
exactly would need to happen for a rogue
AI like Skynet to take over the world
well at its core Terminator ones
apocalypse happens because Skynet a
program designed specifically for
military use revolt against its creators
and launches all of the US has nukes
killing billions in the blink of an eye
it's been able to take control of all
military machinery jacked into it
systems and use it against the surviving
human resistance
now you might think we're quite a few
years away from making that kind of
blanket military strike but it turns out
that weaponized machines reality and
this sort of robot apocalypse is
actually a lot closer than it was when
the first few Terminator films were
being made
if you don't believe me that this is a
big deal will take a listen to what some
of the world's smartest scientific minds
are saying about advances and weaponized
back quote we could one day lose control
of AI systems via the rise of super
intelligences that do not act in
accordance with human wishes and that
such powerful systems would threaten
humanity in quote this line doesn't come
from a Syfy movie it's a real letter
presented at the International Joint
conferences on artificial intelligence
in january of this year
signed by stephen hawking elon musk of
SpaceX and
Tesla fame Steve Wozniak apple guy who
isn't steve jobs and many many many more
these science and tech geniuses are
genuinely worried about killer machines
taking over in the future
and you know what maybe we should be too
right now our killer robots are just
called drones the kind that can
parachute in your latest dating advice
book from amazon.com and there quickly
becoming just another one of those
technology things we take for granted in
our everyday lives but drones have been
around for a lot longer than they've
been delivering bulk bags of cheese its
to your doorstep
in fact they were originally developed
in the seventies and the first
weaponized drone was used in war by Iran
in the late nineteen eighties during the
iran-iraq war the United States invested
heavily in unmanned aerial vehicles or
UAVs for all you Cod heads during the
first Gulf War in the nineties
the program was incredibly successful
which led the u.s. up its production of
drones for use in war
most recently armed drone strikes have
been used heavily in the war on
terrorism across the Middle East as of
jun 2015 the total death toll from us
drone strikes was estimated to exceed
six thousand with up to eight hundred
ninety civilians and about a hundred and
seventy five children killed in pakistan
alone
that's a lot of innocents killed and
these sorts of drones aren't just being
rolled out in the Middle East drones are
becoming more and more common in North
America as well
several law enforcement agencies across
the u.s. have been using drones for
surveillance and many bureau's have been
requesting permission to equip their
UAVs with Pierre gasps and guns that
fire rubber bullets non-lethal weaponry
to be sure but still weaponry in the
head
of computer controlled devices and that
starts to get scary
now you might be thinking a little
creepy i yes but there still are drones
we have controlled from well you might
want to think again because things can
get hatch we previously talked about how
easily hackers can get into everything
we owned from our phones to our
computers to our cars in our watch
underscore dogs episodes over on game
theory and drones
no exception in 2011 a CIA stealth drone
was hijacked by a group of iranians who
not only brought it down but did it in a
way that they could reverse-engineer the
technology for themselves and the
craziest part of this
the instructions on how they did this
can be found with a quick google search
now we hear the arresting don't condone
this sort of behavior
so we're going to elect not to share how
to find this information but for those
of you smart enough to use related
keywords and know how to click a button
with a giant magnifying glass on it
you'll find yourself a PDF explaining
exactly how to generate fake signals
that can pull the drones gps receivers
as well as how to replace legitimate
signals with fake ones
can you imagine if a rogue AI program
like Skynet were able to get into
systems of drones like this
it's a wild hypothetical scenario right
hypothetical might not be the right word
to describe in early July a massive
vulnerability was found in adobe flash
you know the program that allows you to
play slime volleyball and
addictinggames.com which allowed hackers
to install malware on thousands of
systems without users even realizing
anything was wrong
later that same month microsoft rushed
out emergency attached to fix a
ginormous security bug that allowed
hackers to remotely sec
malicious code on computers running any
supported version of windows to keeping
security holes that affect pretty much
anyone who has ever touched a computer
ever
but you know what the scariest part
about this is several parts of the US
government including branches as large
and powerful as the Navy currently use
windows as their operating system which
when you think about it makes sense that
they'd be windows people anyone i think
Navy my mind doesn't jump two
silhouettes dancing in front of me on
colored backgrounds but serious talk
with the rogue AI found a similar hole
and simultaneously exploited it on every
system it could that's starting to sound
a lot like Skynet isn't it
so we've managed to lay the foundation
or at the very least the major building
blocks for a Skynet ask doom program to
take over our computer systems are
imperfect and vulnerable and our
military and police forces are operated
by machines more and more every day
so what's missing why aren't we the
loyal subjects of an all-powerful Robo
Overlord already
well the answer to that question is true
artificial intelligence in all of the
films
Skynet is a self where system that's
what made it so dangerous
it was able to comprehend things like
life and death the fact that it existed
and even had a self-preservation in
state
that's why it launched all those nooks
and killed humans in the first place
it's all us humans as a threat to its
existence and it got scared and all of
that sound to you like the plot of
avengers age of ultron you're dead on
well obviously no technology like this
currently exists in our world
believe it or not it's not entirely out
of the realm of possibility
in fact it's a subject that's been
seriously speculated on by scientists
and science fiction writers like really
there's only one thing standing between
us and truth sentient AI like Skynet and
that thing is time
eventually it will happen in an event
known as the singularity
now i'm sure a lot of you have heard
that word tossed around in the
but let's define it here the
technological singularity will be a
point in time where technology becomes
so powerful and exponential advancement
of science will be so quick that a super
intelligence is created the singularity
itself is a term borrowed from
astrophysics
it refers to a point in space-time or
normal physics no longer apply think the
center of a black hole where there's so
much mass that time ceases to be a
factor
now the singularity could be achieved in
one of four ways but to save us all time
let's just talk about the one that sky
that fits into their computer network
become so advanced that it becomes
self-aware
if that were to ever happen it would
basically be impossible for us humans to
keep up a computer that was aware of
itself could use all of its intelligence
to design an even better computer which
would then design a better computer
which would then design a better
computer and so on and so forth
it would get to the point where a
supercomputer could design an even
better supercomputer in milliseconds and
if it decided to turn against us like
Skynet did the hell we probably wouldn't
stand a chance
so why are we talking about this now
again this sounds like something out of
science fiction
there is no way a computer he gets so
advanced so quickly and it especially
isn't feasible in the next few
years rights rights well my dear loyal
long departed theorists you know I
wouldn't bring it up for no reason
technology is fickle due to the nature
of electronics computer sciences advance
at a much faster rate than other fields
this is so well documented that there's
even a neat little name for the concept
it's called Moore's law and it states
that the number of transistors basically
computer thinking bits on a circuit
board doubles every two years now this
seems like a very simple and very rough
estimation but let me tell you this is
held true for decades and has only slow
down recently in 2015 representatives
and Intel stated that quote Arcadians
today is slower to two and a half years
than two still that is incredibly quick
for the type of advancements we are
making in layman's terms this means that
computers are getting really powerful
really quickly and if you want proof of
those advancements just looked landscape
of computers in the past decades 40
years ago in the seventies a computer
could take up an entire room in a
laboratory
30 years ago computers were almost
non-existent in the general market and
their screens could only display texture
rudimentary drawings pixel art 20 years
ago in the nineties well a bit more
common computer systems weren't very
powerful they were mostly used for
office worker to play really on advanced
video games
ten years ago in the office computers
were now common but garbage compared to
today's standards I remember once having
to buy a thumb drive for school and a
hundred fifty-six megabit drive costs
right around fifty dollars fifty dollars
today a drive with that little memory
space literally wouldn't be worth
plastic and metal used to create it the
phones that many of us have in our
pockets today have more power than what
was used to go to the moon in the
sixties and our very best computers can
render three-dimensional imagery so
realistic that you might be unable to
distinguish it from the real thing and
for as simple as it may seem models
created using Moore's Law outlined all
of this and some scientists have been
using it to predict future trends in
technology
one such man is named breakers while
computer scientist inventor futuristic
director of engineering at Google or is
it alphabet now
corporate maneuvering confuses me
Kurzweil is the definition of a genius
and a pioneer of computing technology
having been heavily involved with
optical character recognition text to
speech and speech recognition technology
in the baths he was also named one of
PBS's 16 revolutionaries who made
America read his bio it's very clear he
knows what he's talking about he's also
been one of the loudest voices within
the so-called at singularity community
and has gone so far as to chart out a
graph of real-world technological growth
and compare it to what mores lost
predicted
remember how I said Moore's law outline
the advancements made in the past few
decades and how it lined up shockingly
well with tech that's now being released
well
kurzweil notice this back in the
eighties and charged out how technology
would continue to him
for decades to come using these numbers
Kurzweil predicted and maintains that
the singularity will occur around 20-40
5 30 years from now
so going back to our original question
here is terminators future possible
where Skynet takes over in 2017
oh that dates off the mark just like its
predecessors were before it and he don't
get me wrong we have weaponized AI and
massive vulnerabilities in our
technology but we're nowhere close to
having artificial intelligence yet - not
coming in two years
it's coming in 30 but hey that's just a
theory of Phil eerie and
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it's actually better than the movie and
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how to survive the robot apocalypse
doing this video made me really paranoid